Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000174 0.000193 0.000214 0.000237 0.000264 0.000293 0.000327
2025-03-16 0.000132 0.000158 0.000188 0.000226 0.000273 0.000330 0.000403
2025-03-23 0.000112 0.000141 0.000178 0.000227 0.000293 0.000377 0.000495
2025-03-30 0.000101 0.000133 0.000175 0.000235 0.000319 0.000434 0.000607
2025-04-06 0.000088 0.000120 0.000164 0.000230 0.000326 0.000465 0.000686
2025-04-13 0.000076 0.000107 0.000151 0.000218 0.000322 0.000478 0.000738
2025-04-20 0.000069 0.000101 0.000146 0.000219 0.000335 0.000517 0.000837
2025-04-27 0.000065 0.000097 0.000145 0.000224 0.000355 0.000569 0.000963
2025-05-04 0.000060 0.000091 0.000140 0.000222 0.000363 0.000603 0.001063
2025-05-11 0.000056 0.000088 0.000137 0.000224 0.000377 0.000648 0.001190
2025-05-18 0.000052 0.000083 0.000133 0.000222 0.000385 0.000683 0.001301
2025-05-25 0.000049 0.000079 0.000129 0.000222 0.000395 0.000721 0.001426
2025-06-01 0.000046 0.000075 0.000125 0.000220 0.000403 0.000761 0.001564
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000069 0.000118 0.000211 0.000396 0.000770 0.001641
2025-06-15 0.000039 0.000067 0.000115 0.000212 0.000410 0.000822 0.001826
2025-06-22 0.000038 0.000066 0.000116 0.000219 0.000437 0.000907 0.002103
2025-06-29 0.000035 0.000062 0.000111 0.000215 0.000437 0.000934 0.002245
2025-07-06 0.000032 0.000057 0.000104 0.000204 0.000424 0.000927 0.002298
2025-07-13 0.000030 0.000055 0.000102 0.000204 0.000436 0.000982 0.002526
2025-07-20 0.000029 0.000054 0.000102 0.000209 0.000458 0.001062 0.002845
2025-07-27 0.000028 0.000052 0.000100 0.000207 0.000465 0.001108 0.003074
2025-08-03 0.000027 0.000051 0.000099 0.000209 0.000479 0.001175 0.003384
2025-08-10 0.000025 0.000049 0.000096 0.000208 0.000486 0.001223 0.003644